Metrics, Post-Processing and Products for S2S

NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, College Park, Maryland

Metrics, Post-processing, and Products for Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Workshop

28 February - 2 March 2018

College Park, MD, USA

Official Workshop Website

Metrics, Post-processing, and Products for S2S Final Report

Release Date: 31 May 2018

Workshop Agenda

Opening Session

Welcome and PurposeJessie Carman, National ESPC

Next Generation Earth System Prediction: Strategies for S2S ForecastsRaymond Ban, National Academy of Sciences

The Weather Act/NOAA S2S ReportDavid DeWitt, NOAA/CPC

Agency Capabilities

CPC Current Capabilities and Metrics and Key Science Challenges to Improving S2S Forecast Skill - Dave DeWitt, NOAA/CPC

14 WS (USAF) Capabilities - Lt Col Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff

FNMOC Current S2S Capabilities - Charles Skupniewicz, Navy

NOAA MAPP Program S2S Activities - Annarita Mariotti, NOAA/CPO

DOE Modeling Predictability Interests and Activities - Dorothy Koch, DOE

NASA GMAO GEOS S2S Prediction System, Metrics, Post-processing and Products - Andrea Molod, NASA

User Needs

Next Generation Earth System Prediction: Recommendations on the Role of Forecast UsersScott Sandgathe, APL Univ. of Washington

Regional Services: Moving into R2S for NOAA’s Product LinesEllen Mecray, NOAA/NESDIS

AF Weather Interest in S2S Climate Prediction - Lt Col Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff

User Needs: US National Ice CenterCDR Ruth Lane, NIC

DHS and FEMA Use of Weather ForecastsMichael Hurick, FEMA

Earth Observations and DiplomacyFernando Echavarria, Dept of State

User Needs: The U.S. Department of AgricultureMark Brusberg, USDA

Improving S2S Precip Forecasting for Water Supply ManagementJeanine Jones, Western States Water Council & CDWR

Transforming Risk Management with Probability Forecasts: Weeks to a Season or MoreJohn Dutton, Prescient Weather Ltd

S2S Weather Forecast Data Needs and Climate FieldViewTMRicardo Lemos, The Climate Service

Operational and Technological Solutions

S2S Opportunities

Research Opportunities for Advancing S2S ForecastChidong Zhang, NOAA/PMEL

S2S Research OpportunitiesAnnarita Mariotti, CPO/MAPP

Reliability and Potential Metrics for Impact Events

Final Workshop Report