0 - 10 Days

U.S. Navy

  NAVGEM

Description/Overview: The Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM) is a global numerical weather prediction computer simulation run by the United States Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center. This mathematical model is run four times a day and produces weather forecasts. 

Timeline: 2.5 Days

Supplemental Links:  https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html#ensemble

NOAA

Wave Watch III

Description/Overview: The Global Ensemble Ocean Wave Forecast System (GEOWaFS) provides wave forecasts from 21 wave models run simultaneously using winds from NCEP's Global Forecast Sytem GFS (control member) and from the Global Ensemble Forecast System GEFS (20 perturbed members).  Forecasts extend from 0h to 240h, and are provided for a global domains in a spherical grid with 0.1 x 0.1 degree resolution. Forecasts are run 4x daily at the 00, 06, 12 and 18Z run cycles.  The US National Weather Service also generates operationally a combined wave-height ensemble product in partnership with the Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (FNMOC) of the US Navy. 

Timeline: 180 Hours - 7.5 Days; Regional models 126 Hours except NAH

Supplemental Links:  http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/ensemble/index.shtml?

 Wave Watch III - Great Lakes

Description/Overview: Uses NAM winds and NDFFD winds.  Regional forecasts provided are: The Great Lakes Region, Lake Erie, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, Lake Ontario Lake Superior.

Timeline: 84 Hours

Supplemental Links:    http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/index2.shtml?-glw-

   

 HWRF

Description/Overview: The Numerical Modeling Group of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division, located at the Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Laboratory, has greatly advanced NOAA's HWRF model. One of the group's most recent accomplishments is the development of the High-resolution HWRF model, the first 3km-resolution regional model to be officially adopted and run operationally by the National Hurricane Center at the start of the 2012 hurricane season.

Timeline: 5 Days

Supplemental Links: http://hwrf.aoml.noaa.gov/

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/projects/36/

http://www.hfip.org/documents/HFIP_AnnualReport_FY2014.pdf

NEMS/NMMB

Description/Overview: AOML and NCEP along with other HIWPP partners will participate in this project to accomplish or accelerate the development of a fully two-way interactive moving nested, multi scale, non-hydrostatic modeling system using NMMB in the NEMS framework. 

Timeline: 5 Days

Supplemental Links:  http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/projects/36/

 Surge

Description/Overview: The Advanced Circulation and Storm Surge model (ADCIRC) provides numerous products: Tidal Basins, related publications, grids, Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment (CERA), Deepwater Horizon Oil spill Near Shore Trajectory Modeling for Hurricanes. The CERA group delivers storm surge and wave predictions for impending or active tropical cyclones in the United States. Based on the ADCIRC, the CERA web application provides an easy-to-use interactive web interface. Emergency managers, weather forecasters, and GIS specialists can retrieve real-time forecasting results to evaluate the impacts of a tropical event or to see the tide, wind-wave, and extra-tropical surge conditions on a daily basis. 

Timeline: 3 Days