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prediction capability

The National ESPC’s role in improving capabilities for subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) and seasonal to decadal (S2D) prediction is to foster and coordinate:

  • Support for North-American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) / subseasonal ensembles via a partnership of the willing.
  • Optimized NMME / subseasonal ensembles to address the S2S prediction problem.
  • Improved skill in the S2S timescale with fully coupled systems.
  • Structure for interagency programmatic ventures and [prioritized investments.

The S2S / S2D prediction problem is challenging, which is why the National ESPC’s Executive Steering Group identified it as a focus area. By building on the successes of the Navy in short-range operational forecasting and collaborative efforts, National ESPC partners can leverage existing National ESPC working groups and strategies such as interoperability, while maintaining a focus on research to operations (R2O), to solve these important problems.


Building an Interannual to Decadal Prediction and Projection Capability for Decision Support

 

OAR HEADQUARTERS

Phone: 301-713-2458
Address: 1315 East-West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910

About Us

The Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) was formed in 2010, with an updated Charter in 2016, between the original NUOPC partners with the addition of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Department of Energy (DOE), and National Science Foundation (NSF) to improve coordination and collaboration across federally sponsored environmental research and operational prediction communities for scientific development and operational implementation of improved global prediction at the weather-to-climate interface.

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